Experience and Skill - Together

Chmura Economics & Analytics provides applied economic consulting, quantitative research, and software solutions requiring the integration of advanced economic analysis. Chmura publishes Virginia Economic Trends, electronic publications, and forecasts. Software products include JOBSeq®, WIBeq™, and OnStage.

Chmura has the skill and experience to turn data into information, supporting confident decisions and the realization of bold goals. Products are customized to meet the particular needs of our clients. Chmura Economics & Analytics is committed innovation, creativity, and achieving 100% customer satisfaction in all project engagements.

Upcoming Events

  • May 5 - Weekly Economic Update
  • May 12 - Weekly Economic Update
  • May 19 - Weekly Economic Update
  • May 26 - Weekly Economic Update
  • Jun 2 - Weekly Economic Update
  • Jun 9 - Weekly Economic Update
  • Jun 16 - Weekly Economic Update

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Weekly Economic Update Podcast

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Listen to this week's podcast of the Chmura Weekly Economic Update.

Chmura Recession Index

The Chmura Recession Index forecasts a 42% probability of recession occurring in six months from now (September 2008). In a periodic model update, Chmura added a new variable capturing the interest differences between domestic and global financial markets, a change that boosted the July 2008 probability to 58%. Though such a single month of elevated probability (such as also occurred in 1999) provides a warning that the economy is likely to slow, it is a sustained six-month period of greater than 50% probability that establishes a clear sign that has been historically associated with recession. Click here to subscribe to the Chmura Recession Monitor or other publications.

The Chmura Recession Probability Index is currently 42%

Contact Chmura

Chmura Economics & Analytics
1309 East Cary Street
Richmond, Virginia
Phone: 804.649.1107
Fax: 804.644.2828
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JobsEQ® is a registered trademark of Chmura Economics & Analytics.